The Trends in Temperature and Rainfall and the Possible Vulnerability of Indian Agriculture to Climate Change

By Anita Kumari and Nilabja Ghosh.

Published by Food Studies: An Interdisciplinary Journal

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Article: Electronic $US5.00

Analysis of long period data on temperature and rainfall in various climatic zones in India provides a strong indication of rising temperature and some signs of decline of rainfall, though there are regional deviations. We find indications that most of the leading crops in the country are likely to be adversely affected by higher temperatures or rainfall departures at some point in their growing period. In particular, rice appears to be vulnerable to temperature increase during the day as well as the night. However, in certain ways climate change may also offer favourable effects to crop yields.

Keywords: Climate Change, Temperature, Rainfall, Vulnerability, Agriculture, India, Panel Data

Food Studies: An Interdisciplinary Journal, Volume 2, Issue 4, pp.41-59. Article: Print (Spiral Bound). Article: Electronic (PDF File; 584.256KB).

Dr. Anita Kumari

Assistant Professor, Forecasting of Agricultural Output Using Space, Agro-meteorology and Land-based Observation, Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi, Delhi, India

Dr. Anita Kumari is an assistant professor at the Institute of Economic Growth (IEG) at the University of Delhi (North Campus), India. Her current research interests are agricultural supply response and price modeling, agriculture and industrial productivity.

Dr Nilabja Ghosh

Associate Professor, Forecasting of Agricultural Output Using Space, Agro-meteorology and Land-based Observation, Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi, Delhi, India

Dr. Nilabja Ghosh is an associate professor at the Institute of Economic Growth (IEG) at the University of Delhi (North Campus), India. Her current research interests are agriculture, rural development and the environment.